Flows from overseas Indians into Non-Resident Indian (NRI) deposit schemes have fallen by 24.17 per cent to approximately $11.04 billion between April 2025 and February 2026, down from $14.56 billion in the previous year, according to Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data.
Market participants are keenly awaiting regular, preferably weekly, updates from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank), or FCNR (B), deposits, following the central bank's directive for banks to submit daily data on these inflows.
The asymmetry in deposit and credit growth is the biggest challenge before the Indian banking industry. For every 100 deposit that a bank mobilises, it needs to keep 3 with the banking regulator in the form of cash reserve ratio on which it doesn't earn any interest. Another 18 is used for buying government bonds (statutory liquidity ratio). This means, a bank is left with 79 for giving credit. Add to this, its capital which can be used for giving loans. Most banks are facing a fund crunch. They need to find ways to attract deposits if they want to sustain credit growth, explains Tamal Bandyopadhyay.
In response to the panic triggered by Trump's trade policies, the RBI net sold approximately $43 billion in the second half of FY25 to curb volatility, as the rupee plunged to a low of 87.95 per dollar in February this year.
Net NPAs increased to Rs 36,260 crore in the December quarter from Rs 34,843 crore in September and Rs 33,116 crore in December 2023, observes Tamal Bandyopadhyay.
Government sources say India could consider raising the policy repo rate if the rupee falls towards 61-62 to the dollar.
The 30-share Sensex surged 299 points to close at 28,736 and the 50-share Nifty gained 90 points to end at 8,723.
RBI is unlikely to stem the slide against the dollar as the greenback is rising rapidly against all currencies in the world.
Once these banks start showing losses, they will not be able to pay dividends to the government nor pay taxes, which will further aggravate the situation for the government as its return on investment as an investor would be very negligible for the next few years, says M V Subramanian.
Cashi Crisis: Day 9: Aaj ki Taaza Khabar!
